Stock Market '09 at Kaboodle
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Stock Market '09

by mona_moolah   |   13 Comments

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April Employment Report...

See this at: briefing.com| Added on 05/09/09

The April decline in payrolls of 539,000 was a smaller decline than the published economist median expectation of 600,000, but still represents bad economic news.

Highlights: Part of the smaller decline is explained by a 72,000 jump in government payrolls, which hardly helps the wealth-producing private sector. There, widespread losses occurred, including a drop of 149,000 in manufacturing and 110,000 in construction. It is hard to derive a positive spin from...

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There have been hopes recently of a steadying in consumer spending leading to a stabilization in economic trends this fall or later this year, but the data does not provide much support for that argument. These are still massive job losses and wage gains are minimal. Granted, payroll trends do lag overall economic trends, but unless businesses start to show a willingness to hire and not just to lay off fewer people, the market may be ahead of itself in looking at the recent economic data as harbingers of much better trends.

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U.S. Stocks Fall, Halting...

See this at: bloomberg.com| Added on 04/25/09

U.S. stocks fell, ending a six-week winning streak for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as concern grew that credit losses at banks are worsening and drugmakers slid following disappointing earnings at Merck & Co. The benchmark index for U.S. stocks... See more more

Highlights: “The financials are setting a big tone for the market,” said Marc Harris, co-head of global research at RBC Capital Markets in New York. “We still have huge problems ahead.” The S&P 500 slid 0.4 percent to 866.23. The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 55.04 points, or 0.7 percent, to...

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U.S. Stocks Rise for...

See this at: bloomberg.com| Added on 04/19/09

U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its steepest six-week gain since 1938, as profits at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. ignited a rally in bank shares. Bank of America Corp., the largest U.S. lender, and... See more more

Highlights: The S&P 500 has surged 29 percent since reaching a 12-year low on March 9, posting its first six-week gain since May 2007. That’s the steepest advance since 1938, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. More than $12 trillion in government spending to fix the financial system and revive...

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US Stocks Close Higher;...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 03/10/09

Stocks finally broke out of their doldrums Tuesday as hopes that banks were finding their feet took the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 375 points for its biggest gain since November.

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Investors were encouraged on multiple fronts: assurances that the financial system was under improvement from U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke, word that Citigroup was profitable by one measure in the first two months of 2009 and hints at reinstatement of a short-selling restriction. Still, similar sharp rallies in September, October and November turned out to be fleeting, and the market has still not had two gaining sessions since Feb.

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Bernanke stresses big...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 03/10/09

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Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke stressed Tuesday that major financial institutions would not be allowed to fail given the fragile state of financial markets and the global economy. In a speech in Washington, Bernanke repeated that until the banking system recovers, a sustainable economic recovery will "remain out of reach." "In particular, the continued viability of systemically important financial institutions is vital to this effort," Bernanke said in a speech to the Council of Foreign Relations. Bernanke also laid out his thinking on a fresh approach to the regulation of financial markets. Weaknesses in the current regulatory regime have been glaringly obvious during the financial crisis.

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Penny stocks? Small...

See this at: finance.yahoo.com| Added on 02/24/09

What costs more -- a spark plug or a share of General Motors? A Sunday New York Times or a share of the newspaper company? A General Electric toaster or a share of GE?

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Today, a share of Hovnanian, one of the nation's largest builders, can be had for 96 cents, less than it costs for a set of spare house keys. Banks, stung by plummeting mortgage values, followed. A share of Citigroup Inc. which cost $55.66 at the beginning of 2007, now costs $2.60. ATM fees can total $3 or more for using an out-of-network bank card. Since the start of 2007, shares in companies from every sector have been hit. -- General Motors shares have fallen from $30.30 to $2.22, less than the cost of a standard spark plug (about $3.79). -- New York Times Co. shares have fallen from $24.27 to $3.95, cheaper than the $4 cost of its Sunday edition. -- General Electric Co. shares fell from $30.30 to $9.08, cheaper than a GE two-slice bagel toaster at Wal-Mart, selling Tuesday on the clearance rack for $12. -- Office Depot is down from $38.27 to $1.26, less than a 12-pack of medium point Papermate BallPoint Stick Pens which runs $1.89. -- US Airways has fallen from $53.89 to $3.66, less than the current $4 cost of two in-flight coffees. The bargain-basement stock prices of America's best known companies present either the greatest opportunity of a lifetime -- or the biggest money pit this side of the Great Depression. Of course, many didn't survive then -- and many won't survive now. Someone who bought shares of Circuit City, which cost $5.75 before the one-time retailing bellwether announced it would close, would have been better off buying a four-pack of AA batteries. The company is now selling furniture and fixtures from its headquarters as it liquidates.

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Dow Theory: Time to Sell?

See this at: cnbc.com| Added on 02/19/09

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below its November 20 closing low today and hitting a level it has not seen since October 2002. At the same time the Dow Jones Transportation Average also hit its lowest level since 2003.

Highlights: The significance of this concurrence, will put more downward pressure on the markets in the days ahead. Dow Theory, which is one of the oldest technical market timing systems, dictates that this coincidence is a selling trigger. While the technicians that follow the theory do not always...

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U.S. Stocks Decline, Dow...

See this at: bloomberg.com| Added on 02/19/09

U.S. stocks dropped, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a six-year low, as Hewlett-Packard Co. cut its profit forecast and concern about rising credit-card defaults dragged financial shares to the lowest level since 1995.

Highlights: Hewlett-Packard, the world’s largest personal-computer maker, fell 7.9 percent and technology companies were the biggest drag on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. fell 14 percent each to lead the Dow’s retreat. Prudential Financial Inc. slid 16...

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Investors are “afraid the government’s going to wipe out everybody that’s got an interest,” Schutz said. “Nobody knows what the rule book is.

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U.S. stock slide propels...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 02/19/09

The U.S. stock market's fall on Thursday initially had investors steering clear of three-month intraday lows tested earlier in the week, with the bear-market bottom called by some in November holding -- yet the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished... See more more

Highlights: While the Dow and S&P broke their mid-January lows earlier in the week, the Nasdaq offered an encouraging sign by holding above its comparable level, said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald. "Investor resolve is clearly getting tested, although I would say that this is...

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"I'm not a big support-resistance person, but 7,500 seems to be on everybody's mind; it's a perception problem," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer, Harris Private Bank. A close below 7,500 would "worry a lot of armchair investors," Ablin said, ahead of the final bell. The blue-chip index on Tuesday fell nearly 300 points to close at 7552.6, just 0.31 points shy of matching a 51/2-year low hit on Nov. 20, 2008.

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Major Indices Approach...

See this at: cnbc.com| Added on 02/19/09

As we are getting close to the November 2008 lows, here are some key dates for for each of the major indices, both on a closing and intraday basis.

Highlights: # Last time the Dow closed below 7,552.29 was on 03/12/2003. It closed at 7,552.07. # Last time the Dow crossed below its intraday low of 7,449.38 on 11/21/08 was 03/12/2003. It hit an intraday low of 7,416.64

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Where's a Stimulus Plan...

See this at: online.barrons.com| Added on 02/17/09

WASHINGTON CONTINUES TO DICTATE THE MOOD on Wall Street, but the deference is taking its toll. Congress passed a $787 billion plan Friday that includes a half-trillion in government spending and nearly $280 billion in tax cuts, while President Obama... See more more

Highlights: Last week's percentage decline was the biggest since the mid-November selloff just before this latest bounce, but whether stocks will snap back once again is a big question. For now, the market remains susceptible to policy-inspired rallies, followed by buyers' remorse when government...

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Such big plans and big numbers managed to slow the wave of stock selling late last week, but failed to shake the show-me-the-money skepticism that is taking hold of the market. Stocks' fifth loss in six weeks nudges the indexes closer to their Nov. 20 lows, setting up a much-anticipated re-test of that tenuous threshold. Last week's retreat was widely blamed on the lack of details in Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's proposal for ridding banks of bad assets -- even though that smacks of an excuse to sell, and overlooks the need to preserve flexibility and avoid his predecessor's market-rattling mistake of deviating from articulated plans. The Dow Jones Industrial Average effectively gave up its gains from the prior week and fell 430 points, or 5.2%, to 7850. It is now less than 4% above the Nov. 20 low. Banks' deteriorating assets continue to haunt investors, even as the industry's impact on the price-weighted Dow shrivels: With Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC) in the single digits, a trip to zero would shave only 72 points from the Dow. The Standard & Poor's 500 fell 42, or 4.8%, to 827 on the week. The Nasdaq Composite fell 57, or 3.6%, to 1534, while the Russell 2000 index gave up 22, or 4.8%, to 448.

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Big hopes for plan fade...

See this at: usatoday.com| Added on 02/10/09

Calling the plan from Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner short on details, traders and investors slammed the Dow Jones industrials down 382 points, or 4.6%, to 7889, its biggest loss since December.

Highlights: The drubbing took the Dow just 337 points from its bear market low set in November. Meanwhile, a flight to safety pushed U.S. government debt prices up and yields down. The benchmark 10-year note yield fell to 2.82% from 2.99% Monday. Despite hopes the plan would lay out fresh ideas to get...

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•Lack of specific actions. The plan outlines a stress test for banks to find which are salvageable. There's also a plan to create an investment fund with up to $1 trillion in public and private money and another $1 trillion for a consumer and business lending program. Appearing before Congress, Geithner vowed to "flesh out the details" later. But investors wanted flesh now, says Bill Ryder of Riverfront Investment. "They haven't said what their plan is. It's my sense, they're unsure themselves." •Failure to deal with the bad loans. Investors want the government to take leadership in quarantining toxic assets, rather than pouring money into weak banks and allowing the infection to spread, says Robert Maltbie of Singular Research.

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Treasury, Fed unveil $1.5...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 02/10/09

In its latest effort to stabilize the broken financial system, the U.S. government will use mostly private money to create a fund of at least $500 billion to recapitalize banks and another fund of $1 trillion to support consumer and business lending,... See more more

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Stocks Decline,...

See this at: bloomberg.com| Added on 02/10/09

U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest drop since Barack Obama’s inauguration, while Treasuries rallied on skepticism that the government’s bank rescue will work. The dollar and gold rose.

Highlights: Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. slipped more than 15 percent after Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said he’s still “exploring a range of different structures” to bail out lenders. Principal Financial Group Inc. plunged 30 percent on concern the life insurer needs more capital....

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The S&P 500 Financials index lost 11 percent, the most among 10 industries. Bank of America fell 19 percent to $5.56, and Citigroup retreated 15 percent to $3.35, giving them the steepest drops in the Dow average. “There’s still a lack of clarity,” Dan McMahon, director of equity trading at Raymond James Financial Inc. in St. Petersburg, Florida, said of Geithner’s proposal. “These are smart people and they’re supposed to have it figured out. We’ve been waiting all week and then he said nothing.” Regional banks accounted for seven of the 10 biggest drops in the S&P 500 following Geithner’s comments. Regions Financial Corp., SunTrust Banks Inc., KeyCorp, Marshall & Ilsley Corp., Huntington Bancshares Inc., Fifth Third Bancorp and Zions Bancorporation lost more than 19 percent.

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Wall St., analysts: Too...

See this at: finance.yahoo.com| Added on 02/10/09

The new bank rescue plan landed with a thud on Wall Street. Worried that the revamped financial bailout was far too short on details, especially on how to clean up the books of the banks, investors drove the Dow Jones industrials tumbling more than... See more more

Highlights: "The good news is they are going to spend a trillion dollars," said James Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "The bad news is they don't know how." The administration called it the Financial Stability Plan, abandoning the old TARP, or Troubled Asset Relief Program. And while...

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U.S. Stocks Drop, Capping...

See this at: bloomberg.com| Added on 02/02/09

U.S. stocks slid, capping the market’s worst January, as more companies reported disappointing earnings and the economy shrank at the fastest pace in 26 years. Procter & Gamble Co. lost 6.4 percent as quarterly sales trailed estimates and the company... See more more

Highlights: The Dow dropped 8.8 percent this month to mark the worst January in its 113-year history. The 30-company benchmark lost 34 percent last year.

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Worst January on Record...

See this at: online.wsj.com| Added on 02/02/09

Stocks wrapped up their worst January on record with a final plunge on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished January down 8.84% on the month. Previously, the worst January for the Dow had been that of 1916, when it fell 8.64%. Friday, the... See more more

Highlights: The Dow has fallen five straight months and in 12 of the last 15. The S&P 500-stock index lost 2.28% Friday to end at 825.88, for cumulative losses in January of 8.57%. Until Friday, its worst January from 1929 onward occurred in 1970, when it lost 7.65%. Both stock-market indexes are off...

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Gold and the U.S. dollar were among Friday's few silver linings. The dollar rose 1.23% against the euro. February gold gained 2.5%, ending at $927.30. "The dollar seems to have some strength, but I think gold is telling the real story here," said Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer at Merk Investments. Investors no longer favor any particular currency, Mr. Merk said, because of "[worries] about what governments may do to their currencies. Everyone wants to weaken their currencies to finance growth. There are depression fears spreading around the world."

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US Stocks Lower On Weak...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 01/29/09

Stocks suffered a broad-based decline Thursday as dire housing-sales and economic reports weighed on the pivotal financial sector. The financial sector and the broad market had rallied Wednesday on hopes that the rumored plan from the Treasury... See more more

Highlights: "People really want this market to turn around," said Jonathan Corpina, senior managing partner at Meridian Equity Partners, a New York brokerage firm. But "in reality, after you look at the headlines and digest the information, we're still in this bad recession," and investors beat a...

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The market's pattern of swings and retracements make it "a trader's market, not an investor's market," says Robert Bright, chief executive of Bright Trading in Chicago. "Buy and hold is out. The time lapse from conception to end of days for corporations has gotten a lot shorter," Bright said.

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Kass: It's a Sad State of...

See this at: thestreet.com| Added on 01/20/09

1/15/09: Interest rates and commodities are again turning lower, the world's economy is deteriorating, and we appear to be in a synchronized global recession. Investor fear is rising, as measured by the VIX, which is trading above the 50 level for... See more more

Highlights: Many, including myself at times, have suggested that the equity market has begun to discount lower corporate profit expectations, but frankly, there is zero visibility to anyone's 2009-2010 forecasts or of the period's likely trajectory. These S&P 500 profit forecasts amount to a moving...

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Commentary: Will...

See this at: marketwatch.com| Added on 01/20/09

It’s a historic day for Washington and, at the end of four to eight years, we will almost certainly look back and conclude it was an equally extraordinary day for Wall Street. After he takes the oath of office Tuesday, President Barack Obama will... See more more

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No new president in the modern era, save for Franklin Roosevelt, has been handed an opportunity to remake the almost every part of the market. Barack Obama and his administration will decide everything from who lives and dies to what rules by which the survivors will play. Roosevelt's reforms lasted about 70 years. If the new administration, with the help of Wall Street, can build something that lasts half as long, I think everyone would be OK with that. Match FDR's run, and history will see it as a rousing success.

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Hot Stock Bets for 2009

See this at: businessweek.com| Added on 01/20/09

Certainly there will be doubters, but already many asset managers have been snapping up stocks they expect to appreciate as a result of the Obama program. Some, such as those of companies expected to benefit from infrastructure rebuilding, already... See more more

Highlights: For instance, since Nov. 20 shares of heavy equipment maker Caterpillar (CAT) have jumped 49%, while tractor maker Deere's (DE) stock has leaped 40%. Steel industry shares also have suddenly boomed: AK Steel (AKS) has jumped 106%, Allegheny Steel (ATI), 88%; Nucor (NUE), 85%; and U.S....

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It isn't surprising that investors on the whole are still very skeptical, if not dead set against putting one more dollar into equities because of the devastation of the market, with global financial crises and a deep recession battering stocks. But whether or not shares have reached a low, investors should recognize that the new year and the forthcoming massive spending from President-elect Barack Obama's recovery proposal bodes well for the market. The ambitious program, set to begin in February, should lift investor and public confidence across the nation. The plan will bolster the economy with huge outlays and should help persuade financial institutions to unlock credit they have restricted so far, helping to boost business spending once again.

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